Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.070141 0.075244 0.080559 0.086513 0.093005 0.099877 0.107714
2025-11-30 0.060796 0.068330 0.076626 0.086474 0.097888 0.110749 0.126409
2025-12-07 0.052704 0.061397 0.071395 0.083817 0.098938 0.116873 0.139944
2025-12-14 0.046132 0.055282 0.066176 0.080219 0.098011 0.120031 0.149702
2025-12-21 0.041995 0.051561 0.063293 0.078912 0.099414 0.125773 0.162822
2025-12-28 0.039648 0.049766 0.062519 0.080008 0.103740 0.135370 0.181662
2026-01-04 0.037507 0.048004 0.061558 0.080646 0.107334 0.144093 0.199946
2026-01-11 0.035187 0.045801 0.059795 0.079969 0.108933 0.150018 0.214593
2026-01-18 0.033299 0.044023 0.058440 0.079682 0.110948 0.156556 0.230610
2026-01-25 0.031273 0.041913 0.056463 0.078317 0.111209 0.160409 0.242694
2026-02-01 0.029210 0.039619 0.054071 0.076152 0.110052 0.161920 0.251030
2026-02-08 0.027490 0.037711 0.052108 0.074464 0.109449 0.164159 0.260648
2026-02-15 0.025932 0.035986 0.050354 0.073043 0.109249 0.167170 0.272158
2026-02-22 0.025068 0.035228 0.049981 0.073712 0.112417 0.175927 0.294671
2026-03-01 0.023588 0.033480 0.048027 0.071771 0.111183 0.177191 0.303766
2026-03-08 0.021985 0.031470 0.045569 0.068873 0.108140 0.175084 0.306309
2026-03-15 0.020953 0.030276 0.044303 0.067817 0.108117 0.178217 0.319135
2026-03-22 0.020459 0.029882 0.044255 0.068743 0.111543 0.187756 0.345559
2026-03-29 0.019910 0.029372 0.043990 0.069279 0.114300 0.196272 0.370877
2026-04-05 0.019161 0.028510 0.043117 0.068717 0.115033 0.201021 0.388828
2026-04-12 0.018527 0.027804 0.042457 0.068478 0.116323 0.206916 0.409897
2026-04-19 0.017753 0.026838 0.041323 0.067341 0.115854 0.209301 0.423428
2026-04-26 0.016896 0.025702 0.039859 0.065535 0.113997 0.208750 0.430181